Is Lee realistic or is hope lost, whilst live on BBC Five Live with Kelly Cates?

Posted on Wednesday, 04 February 2026
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Man City are in the driving seat to reach their 23rd domestic cup final at Wembley under the tutelage of manager Pep Guardiola, after securing a commanding 2-0 first-leg victory over Newcastle at St James’ Park three weeks ago, courtesy of strikes from Antoine Semenyo and Rayan Cherki.

Newcastle began the defence of their EFL Cup crown with victories over Bradford, Tottenham and Fulham, but their 10-game winning run in the competition - dating back to the start of the 2024-25 season - came to an end with a home defeat against Man City in the first leg of their semi-final tie.

Conceding a second goal in the 98th minute was a “body blow” for the Magpies, but “not fatal” in the eyes of head coach Eddie Howe, who has insisted that his team are “still in their fighting” as they bid to become just the second side to overturn a 2+ goal first-leg deficit to reach the EFL Cup final after Aston Villa against Tranmere in 1993-94 (lost 3-1 away, won 3-1 at home before winning on penalties).

Indeed, an almighty challenge awaits Newcastle, who have lost 17 of their last 18 visits to Man City and have only celebrated one victory at the Etihad over the last 22 years, though that solitary success came in the EFL Cup when they claimed a 2-0 fourth-round away victory in October 2014.

Newcastle’s overall away form this season has left a lot to be desired, as they have only prevailed in three of their 16 matches on the road in all competitions (D5 L8), most recently letting a one-goal lead slip to lose 4-1 at Liverpool in the Premier League on Saturday, leaving them 10th in the table and six points behind the top five.

Heading into Wednesday’s second leg, the Magpies can at least take some confidence from having progressed in their previous two EFL Cup ties against Man City (2014 and 2023), while they also claimed a 2-1 Premier League win over Guardiola’s side in November. They will now attempt to beat the Citizens twice in the same season for the first time since 1983-84.

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